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Table 5 Projected expenditures by scenario: ADHD pharmacotherapy for children and adolescents in England and Germany, 2012

From: Impact of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) on prescription dug spending for children and adolescents: increasing relevance of health economic evidence

Key projections1

England

Germany

Scenario

Low Extreme

Base Case

High Extreme

Low Extreme

Base Case

High Extreme

Expenditures 2012

49 m£

78 m£

117 m£

170 m€

311 m€

456 m€

Increase 2012 over 2002

+602%

+1,012%

+1,561%

+617%

+1,210%

+1,825%

Total CNS2 market (2012)

2,039 mŁ(1,463 mŁ)

2,068 m£ (1,492 m£)

2,107 mŁ(1,531 mŁ)

2,261 m€(1,585 m€)

2,402 m€ (1,726 m€)

2,547 m€(1,871 m€)

Share of total2 market (2012)

2.4% (3.4%)

3.8% (5.2%)

5.5% (7.6%)

7.5% (10.7%)

12.9% (18.0%)

17.9% (24.4%)

Projections by products

      

Stimulants

40.7 m£

58.3 m£

91.3 m£

141 m€

259 m€

390 m€

DEX

0.6 m£

0.7 m£

1.2 m£

n.a.

n.a.

n.a.

MPH-IR

1.2 m£

1.5 m£

1.9 m£

5 m€

7 m€

8 m€

MPH-MR

22.3 m£

18.4 m£

24.4 m£

90 m€

74 m€

92 m€

MPH-TDS

6.7 m£

8.4 m£

14.2 m£

24 m€

36 m€

58 m€

LisDEX

10 m£

29.2 m£

49.6 m£

22 m€

143 m€

232 m€

Nonstimulants

8.6 m£

20.0 m£

25.5 m£

29 m€

51 m€

67 m€

ATX

8.6 m£

10.7 m£

13.7 m£

29 m€

39 m€

47 m€

ARM

n.a.

9.2 m£

11.8 m£

n.a.

13 m€

20 m€

  1. 1For abbreviations, see legend to Table 4. 2(share of) market for psychotropics (D) or CNS drugs (UK), calculated assuming a growth rate of 5% p.a. (figures in brackets represent one of the sensitivity analyses, indicating market shares assuming no growth of non-ADHD market segment); for comparison: share of market segment in 2002 was 0.77% (NHS, England) and 1.8% (GKV, Germany), respectively.