Parameter Estimates | OR | (95% CI) | β | S.E | Est./S.E | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Any Adult Criminal Conviction | |||||||
Model 1a | |||||||
 Committing Authority  (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice) | 2.66 | (1.47–4.80) | 0.24 | 0.08 | 2.87 | ** | |
 AIC, BIC, R2 | 16,876.74 |  | 16,893.47 |  | 0.06 | (n.s.) | |
Model 1b | |||||||
  Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice) | 0.93 | (0.50–1.71) | − 0.02 | 0.07 | − 0.21 | (n.s.) | |
 Gender (0 = female; 1 = male) | 6.34 | (3.62–11.10) | 0.38 | 0.06 | 6.27 | *** | |
 Age at Beginning of Commitment | 0.89 | (0.68–1.15) | − 0.09 | 0.12 | − 0.79 |  | |
 MAYSI Traumatic Experiences | 1.23 | (1.00–1.52) | 0.13 | 0.08 | 1.57 |  | |
 MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use | 1.13 | (1.03–1.24) | 0.15 | 0.07 | 2.15 | * | |
 MAYSI Angry-Irritable | 1.04 | (0.91–1.19) | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.46 |  | |
 MAYSI Depressed-Anxious | 1.03 | (0.84–1.27) | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.25 |  | |
 MAYSI Suicidal Ideation | 0.98 | (0.82–1.16) | − 0.02 | 0.08 | − 0.25 |  | |
 Severity of Previous Delinquency | 0.89 | (0.73–1.10) | − 0.07 | 0.07 | − 0.93 |  | |
 Previous Conviction | 1.90 | (1.23–2.96) | 0.14 | 0.06 | 2.41 | * | |
 Time at Risk | 1.03 | (1.01–1.05) | 0.32 | 0.10 | 3.27 | ** | |
 Time since Intake | 0.98 | (0.96–1.00) | − 0.12 | 0.08 | − 1.45 |  | |
 AIC, BIC, R2 | 11,865.95 |  | 11,905.67 |  | 0.40 | *** |
Adult Violent Conviction | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 2a | |||||||
 Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice) | 2.83 | 1.45 | 5.51 | 0.25 | 0.09 | 2.73 | ** |
 AIC, BIC | 16,688.45 |  |  | 16,705.17 |  | 0.06 | (n.s.) |
Model 2b | |||||||
 Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice) | 0.94 | 0.51 | 1.73 | − 0.01 | 0.07 | − 0.17 |  |
 Gender (0 = female; 1 = male) | 4.60 | 2.04 | 10.39 | 0.29 | 0.10 | 3.04 | ** |
 Age at Beginning of Commitment | 0.69 | 0.47 | 1.02 | − 0.25 | 0.14 | − 1.80 |  |
 MAYSI Traumatic Experiences | 0.96 | 0.72 | 1.29 | − 0.02 | 0.10 | − 0.23 |  |
 MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.27 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 1.67 |  |
 MAYSI Angry-Irritable | 0.96 | 0.81 | 1.13 | − 0.05 | 0.11 | − 0.44 |  |
 MAYSI Depressed-Anxious | 1.14 | 0.92 | 1.41 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1.01 |  |
 MAYSI Suicidal Ideation | 0.95 | 0.76 | 1.19 | − 0.04 | 0.10 | − 0.37 |  |
 Severity of Previous Delinquency | 0.96 | 0.71 | 1.31 | − 0.02 | 0.10 | − 0.20 |  |
 Previous Conviction | 4.32 | 1.91 | 9.78 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 3.29 | ** |
 Time at Risk | 1.04 | 1.01 | 1.06 | 0.36 | 0.11 | 3.34 | ** |
 Time since Intake | 0.96 | 0.93 | 0.99 | − 0.21 | 0.09 | − 2.38 | * |
 AIC, BIC, R2 | 11,719.86 |  |  | 11,759.58 |  | 0.48 | *** |
Adult Non-Violent Conviction | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 3a | |||||||
 Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice) | 2.44 | 1.27 | 4.68 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 2.35 | * |
 AIC, BIC, R2 | 16,858.54 |  |  | 16,875.27 |  | 0.05 | (n.s.) |
Model 3b | |||||||
 Committing Authority (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice) | 0.86 | 0.43 | 1.74 | − 0.03 | 0.08 | − 0.34 |  |
 Gender (0 = female; 1 = male) | 7.10 | 3.67 | 13.73 | 0.40 | 0.07 | 5.64 | *** |
 Age at Beginning of Commitment | 0.86 | 0.65 | 1.14 | − 0.11 | 0.12 | − 0.92 |  |
 MAYSI Traumatic Experiences | 1.36 | 1.12 | 1.66 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 2.35 | * |
 MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use | 1.09 | 0.97 | 1.23 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 1.23 |  |
 MAYSI Angry-Irritable | 1.06 | 0.92 | 1.22 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.70 |  |
 MAYSI Depressed-Anxious | 1.00 | 0.81 | 1.24 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.02 |  |
 MAYSI Suicidal Ideation | 0.97 | 0.81 | 1.15 | − 0.03 | 0.08 | − 0.34 |  |
 Severity of Previous Delinquency | 0.80 | 0.65 | 0.98 | − 0.13 | 0.07 | − 1.92 |  |
 Previous Conviction | 2.04 | 1.27 | 3.29 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 2.52 | * |
 Time at Risk | 1.03 | 1.01 | 1.05 | 0.32 | 0.10 | 3.26 | ** |
 Time since Intake | 0.97 | 0.95 | 1.00 | − 0.15 | 0.08 | − 1.84 |  |
 AIC, BIC, R2 | 11,852.74 |  |  | 11,892.46 |  | 0.43 | *** |