Skip to main content

Table 2 Logistic regressions predicting adult criminal conviction

From: Shared residential placement for child welfare and juvenile justice youth: current treatment needs and risk of adult criminal conviction

Parameter Estimates OR (95% CI) β S.E Est./S.E
Any Adult Criminal Conviction
Model 1a
 Committing Authority
 (0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)
2.66 (1.47–4.80) 0.24 0.08 2.87 **
 AIC, BIC, R2 16,876.74   16,893.47   0.06 (n.s.)
Model 1b
  Committing Authority
(0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)
0.93 (0.50–1.71) − 0.02 0.07 − 0.21 (n.s.)
 Gender (0 = female; 1 = male) 6.34 (3.62–11.10) 0.38 0.06 6.27 ***
 Age at Beginning of Commitment 0.89 (0.68–1.15) − 0.09 0.12 − 0.79  
 MAYSI Traumatic Experiences 1.23 (1.00–1.52) 0.13 0.08 1.57  
 MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use 1.13 (1.03–1.24) 0.15 0.07 2.15 *
 MAYSI Angry-Irritable 1.04 (0.91–1.19) 0.04 0.09 0.46  
 MAYSI Depressed-Anxious 1.03 (0.84–1.27) 0.03 0.13 0.25  
 MAYSI Suicidal Ideation 0.98 (0.82–1.16) − 0.02 0.08 − 0.25  
 Severity of Previous Delinquency 0.89 (0.73–1.10) − 0.07 0.07 − 0.93  
 Previous Conviction 1.90 (1.23–2.96) 0.14 0.06 2.41 *
 Time at Risk 1.03 (1.01–1.05) 0.32 0.10 3.27 **
 Time since Intake 0.98 (0.96–1.00) − 0.12 0.08 − 1.45  
 AIC, BIC, R2 11,865.95   11,905.67   0.40 ***
Adult Violent Conviction
Model 2a
 Committing Authority
(0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)
2.83 1.45 5.51 0.25 0.09 2.73 **
 AIC, BIC 16,688.45    16,705.17   0.06 (n.s.)
Model 2b
 Committing Authority
(0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)
0.94 0.51 1.73 − 0.01 0.07 − 0.17  
 Gender (0 = female; 1 = male) 4.60 2.04 10.39 0.29 0.10 3.04 **
 Age at Beginning of Commitment 0.69 0.47 1.02 − 0.25 0.14 − 1.80  
 MAYSI Traumatic Experiences 0.96 0.72 1.29 − 0.02 0.10 − 0.23  
 MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use 1.13 1.00 1.27 0.13 0.08 1.67  
 MAYSI Angry-Irritable 0.96 0.81 1.13 − 0.05 0.11 − 0.44  
 MAYSI Depressed-Anxious 1.14 0.92 1.41 0.12 0.12 1.01  
 MAYSI Suicidal Ideation 0.95 0.76 1.19 − 0.04 0.10 − 0.37  
 Severity of Previous Delinquency 0.96 0.71 1.31 − 0.02 0.10 − 0.20  
 Previous Conviction 4.32 1.91 9.78 0.29 0.09 3.29 **
 Time at Risk 1.04 1.01 1.06 0.36 0.11 3.34 **
 Time since Intake 0.96 0.93 0.99 − 0.21 0.09 − 2.38 *
 AIC, BIC, R2 11,719.86    11,759.58   0.48 ***
Adult Non-Violent Conviction
Model 3a
 Committing Authority
(0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)
2.44 1.27 4.68 0.22 0.09 2.35 *
 AIC, BIC, R2 16,858.54    16,875.27   0.05 (n.s.)
Model 3b
 Committing Authority
(0 = child welfare; 1 = juvenile justice)
0.86 0.43 1.74 − 0.03 0.08 − 0.34  
 Gender (0 = female; 1 = male) 7.10 3.67 13.73 0.40 0.07 5.64 ***
 Age at Beginning of Commitment 0.86 0.65 1.14 − 0.11 0.12 − 0.92  
 MAYSI Traumatic Experiences 1.36 1.12 1.66 0.19 0.08 2.35 *
 MAYSI Alcohol/Drug Use 1.09 0.97 1.23 0.10 0.08 1.23  
 MAYSI Angry-Irritable 1.06 0.92 1.22 0.07 0.09 0.70  
 MAYSI Depressed-Anxious 1.00 0.81 1.24 0.00 0.13 0.02  
 MAYSI Suicidal Ideation 0.97 0.81 1.15 − 0.03 0.08 − 0.34  
 Severity of Previous Delinquency 0.80 0.65 0.98 − 0.13 0.07 − 1.92  
 Previous Conviction 2.04 1.27 3.29 0.15 0.06 2.52 *
 Time at Risk 1.03 1.01 1.05 0.32 0.10 3.26 **
 Time since Intake 0.97 0.95 1.00 − 0.15 0.08 − 1.84  
 AIC, BIC, R2 11,852.74    11,892.46   0.43 ***
  1. N = 354. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05 Parameters are standardized; Analyses used cluster-robust standard errors and FIML-Estimation with Montecarlo integration for dichotomous outcomes